How does the July 9 tariff deadline impact India's
Negotiation strategy?
The July 9 deadline primarily
concerns the reimposition of the U.S.’ reciprocal tariffs. While India
expresses a desire to finalize a trade deal before this date, its negotiation
strategy indicates that it is not "desperate" to meet this deadline.
Several points highlight
India's approach to the deadline:
•Lack of Desperation: The
Indian government is not "desperate" to conclude a deal by July 9.
Sources indicate that even if the deadline is missed, the tariffs will simply
revert to April 2 levels. It is also noted that the tariff increase won’t hurt
India more than other countries, as the U.S. has not signed elaborate trade
deals with many other nations.
•Sensitivity of Key
Sectors: The primary challenges preventing a deal before July 9 are the
agriculture and dairy sectors. These are considered "sensitive"
sectors, especially dairy, and India wants to be very careful in negotiations
concerning them. This caution suggests that India prioritizes protecting these
sectors over rushing to meet the deadline.
•Ongoing Negotiations
Despite Challenges: Despite the challenges in meeting the July 9 deadline
due to existing differences, India's team plans to continue discussions with
the U.S. for the next round of in-person meetings. These discussions will cover
both a "mini deal" and the first part of a Bilateral Trade Agreement
(BTA), with the timeline for the BTA set for Fall. This indicates that
negotiations are viewed as an ongoing process beyond just the immediate July 9
target.
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